Working across space and time: nonstationarity in ecological research and application
Published in Frontiers in Ecology and the Environment, 2021
Recommended citation: C.R. Rollinson, A. Finley, M.R. Alexander, S. Banerjee, K.-A.D. Hamil, L.E. Koenig, D.H. Locke, M. Peterson, M. Tingley, K. Wheeler, C. Youngflesh, E.F. Zipkin. (2021) "Working across space and time: nonstationarity in ecological research and application." Frontiers in Ecology and the Environment 19(1): 66-72. https://esajournals.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/pdf/10.1002/fee.2298
Ecological research increasingly considers integrative relationships among phenomena at broad spatial and temporal domains. However, such large-scale inferences are commonly confounded by changing properties in the processes that govern phenomena (termed nonstationarity), which can violate assumptions underlying standard analytical methods. Changing conditions are funda- mental and pervasive features in ecology, but their influence on ecological inference and prediction increases with larger spatial and temporal domains for a host of factors. Fortunately, tools for identifying and accommodating potentially confounding spatial or temporal trends are available, and new methods are being rapidly developed. Here, we provide guidance for gaining a better understanding of nonstationarity, its causes, and how it can be addressed. Acknowledging and addressing non-constant trends in ecological patterns and processes is key to conducting large-scale research and effectively translating findings to local policies and practices.